Exchange rate forecasting

Essay specific features

 

Issue:

Business

 

Written by:

William B

 

Date added:

March 9, 2015

 

Level:

University

 

Grade:

B

 

No of pages / words:

10 / 2620

 

Was viewed:

1409 times

 

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Essay content:

Mathematically, the exchange rate determination under the PPP model is expressed as: lnet = lnpt – lnpt* where et is the nominal exchange rate, pt and pt* are domestic and foreign prices respectively. The PPP model which is specified as a restrictive error-correction form, following that used in Cheung et al...
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(2004) is written as: lnet+h – lnet = ?o + ?1 (lnet - ?o – ?1lnp~t) + ?t where p~t is the domestic price level relative to the foreign price level, ?t is a zero mean error term, and h is the forecast horizon. The restrictive setup explicitly allows the variation of the exchange rate as a correction of its last-period deviation from a long-run equilibrium b...
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