This, in turn, reinforces mutual suspicion. As such suspicions illustrate, simple nuclear deterrence is based on the assumption that there is no adequate defense yet. In recent years, however, this assumption has been undermined in two ways: First, ways of intercepting bombers and missiles have been much improved...
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Although any adequate defense against a large-scale nuclear attack in the near future seems unlikely, would-be deterers have to worry about possible defense against their retaliation. This, however, can increase suspicion and competition. Secondly, missiles have become more accurate. While early intercontinental missiles typically missed targets by a mile or two, they can now achieve accuracies of a few hundred feet and will soon be able to arrive within a few yards...
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