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Macroeconomic Forecast Paper

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Analysts indicate that in order for the economy to be strong the GDP has to be higher than 5.0%. However, analyst have pointed out that the diminishing monetary and fiscal stimulus, pressures from an overstocked housing market, and rising bond yields will take some wind out of the U.S. economy's sails, resulting in a deceleration in GDP growth to less than 3% on average in the second half of 2006...
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economy's sails, resulting in a deceleration in GDP growth to less than 3% on average in the second half of 2006. These disappointingly low rates are less than the 3.7 percent average annual growth rate in real GDP over the last economic expansion (from 1991 ? 2000). According to the Conference Board, Mortgage Banker's Association and TD Waterhouse the unemployment rate should remain steady...
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